From time to time we ask our writers for a quick take on a subject of the editor's choice. This week's question:
Which players saw the some of the largest fantasy value changes (positive or negative) thanks to Week 1?
Editor’s note: Our writers opted to stay away from Alvin Kamara, Tyreek Hill, and James Conner, as so many others have covered these.
Sunday’s stat line against Carolina wasn’t atrocious - 19 of 29 for 170 yards, no touchdowns, and no interceptions. I understand he is working with a patchwork wide receiving corps, but the tape of the game and all of 2017 showed more than the numbers. Prescott doesn’t throw a catchable ball often, as his touch and ability to lead receivers is not good at all. It may improve with time, but I don’t see it. He has one of the top running backs in the game and a good offensive line. Prescott is a serviceable quarterback, but I don’t see him as the type that will lead a team and make an offense better. September ADP on DLF for Dak Prescott is QB15; this is ahead of Jameis Winston, Matt Ryan, Baker Mayfield, Philip Rivers, Lamar Jackson, Mitchell Trubisky, Derek Carr, and Alex Smith, nine quarterbacks that I would rather have than Dak Prescott. QB15 is far too high for me, give me Alex Smith all day baby! - Dwight Peebles (@FFPeeblesChamp)
Julio Jones and A.J. Green
Julio Jones and A.J. Green are incredible players, yearly fantasy superstars and consistent WR1 finishers. Week 1 did nothing to dispell their dominance, both putting on impressive performances despite the limitations of their quarterbacks. Both, however, are trending downward in value, not because of what they did but because of the breadth of wide receiver talent across the league. Despite them aging - or having aged - out of their prime, their ability has kept them as highly drafted dynasty options despite the end of their careers being just over the horizon. This has been especially true in the post-2014 wide receiver landscape, where there has been a lack of consistent infusion of young talent. Week 1 saw a return to form for receivers, with questions being answered on Tyreek Hill with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, return from injury from Odell Beckham, Jr. and Allen Robinson, Mike Evans producing at a high level, and Michael Thomas catching touchdowns. Production from Jones and Green becomes less critical if more fantasy teams in a league can run out highly productive wide receivers on a weekly basis, reducing their value in season and making the fear of the future their most prominent feature in the dynasty market. At WR8 (Jones) and WR10 (Green), owners should consider alternatives in the trade market such as Hill (WR9), Diggs (WR12), JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR14), Jarvis Landry (WR15), Robinson (WR16), Brandin Cooks (WR17), and Adam Thielen (WR19). All are players capable of returning significant in-season value and who will not see a dropoff in value this offseason. All have a strong chance to pass Jones/Green in price point by the time 2019 arrives. Make no mistake, Green and Jones will win plenty of fantasy titles in 2018, but the strength of young wide receivers in the league makes this the least valuable time to hold an older wide receiver since the end of 2014. Of course, this offseason may very well be the time to repurchase them at a discount. - Jacob Henry (@JacobHenryFF)
Jameis Winston still has all the potential in the world. He is still worth owning in dynasty, but it is impossible to start him at this point and it isn’t even because he is suspended. Winston has struggled with the mental aspect of the NFL game. Some of this can be blamed on coaching, but plenty of the substantial blame lies on his shoulders. Winston is surrounded by a strong offensive cast including Mike Evans, Desean Jackson, Chris Godwin, O.J. Howard, Cameron Brate and more, so why can’t he capitalize? The most concerning aspect of this is that Ryan Fitzpatrick came in and had a career game against a New Orleans defense which was expected to be very strong. Why is the backup quarterback coming in and putting up major numbers when the starter has consistently struggled to get everyone involved? While it isn’t entirely fair to describe Fitzmagic as a backup, the question looms large. Winston was a QB1 in DLF dynasty ADP as recently as May. Since then though, a steady drop has moved him down from 108 overall and QB12 to 156 overall and QB16 in the newly minted September ADP. This drop will continue as folks begin to despair (with good reason) and I predict another disappointing season. Guys like Mitch Trubisky, Baker Mayfield, even Philip Rivers have a strong chance to hop Winston by October. - Josh Padgett (@JPadgett94)
In terms of largest ADP shift, Quincy Enunwa should be the clear “winner” in this week’s Quick Hit. In the latest DLF data, Enunwa is going at an ADP of 184.67. If that doesn’t seem crazy enough, consider this: he comes in as WR77! He seems to be locked in as Sam Darnold’s favorite target, as Enunwa saw ten targets and no other Jet eclipsed three. He’s going to make a jump into the top 48 of receivers next month, and that will continue to climb. By the end of the season, he’ll be drafted as a WR3. Scanning DLF’s Trade Finder, Enunwa was being traded for third and fourth-round picks. That will change as well, and I’d be gauging how the Enunwa owner feels in your league and try to get a deal done. - Cody Kutzer (@CKutzer)