Welcome to my very first article for DHH! I am going to be bringing you the raw, unfiltered, unsolicited, hottest of hot, fuego takes for the 2020 season.
Last year I had 2 hit: Michael Thomas catching over 145 passes and McCaffrey going over 1000/1000.
Here's to hoping a few more hit this year!
Frank Scandurro's 2020 Fuego Takes
Daniel Jones will be a top five Quarterback in 2020
Barkley, Engram, Shepard, Tate, Slayton all set to come back. New coach and a new scheme may hinder Jones, but with a healthy young core around him, the sky's the limit for this team. Jones showed a few times this season he has the ability to become a proficient fantasy quarterback for years to come. He is only one of two quarterbacks to finish as the QB1 or QB2 four or more times in 2019.(Lamar Jackson) Jones finished as the QB24 and 214.98 fantasy points, only playing in 13 games and starting just 12 of those. Let’s give Jones his avg for the 4 games he missed, He would have another 928 passing yards, 8 touchdowns, 100 rushing yards. That gives Jones 316.38 fantasy points and would of had him finish as the QB5.
Joe Burrow will set rookie records for passing yards and touchdowns
Baker Mayfield set rookie touchdown record with 27 in his rookie year and Andrew Luck set the yardage record with 4374 passing yards in 2012. Burrow will throw for around 4,500 yards and 33 touchdowns, He also could set the quarterback rating record that is still held by Otto Graham of 112.1. If he is indeed drafted by Cincinnati, He will have Mixon, Boyd, Uzomah, Eifert, and other pieces they add this offseason to accomplish the feat.
RB 1-5 in 2020 did not finish inside the top 8 in 2019
Barkley, Kamara are the two big names who finished outside the top 8 in 2019.
Barkley and Kamara both missed time with injuries in the middle of the season. But, we saw both come back with a fury in the final weeks and prove to fantasy owners not to forget about them in 2020. Healthy once again, Barkley and Kamara will excel in offenses built to score points.
The three who join them atop the RB mountain in 2020?
Well they go by the name of Jacobs, Sanders, and Mixon. Each of these guys have prime opportunities in 2020 to explode onto the scene. All three had outstanding rookie seasons and were locked into their teams starting position.
Jacobs only played in 13 games in 2019, if we projected his averages out it would give him, 1414 rushing yards, 25 catches, 202 receiving yards and 10 total touchdowns. 246.6 fantasy points or the RB9 in 2019. He would only need to add 200 yards, 9 catches and 3 touchdowns to his 2019 total to finish as a top 5 RB. Another off-season under his belt and the recovery time for his shoulder should allow Jacobs to exceed this projections and leap into the top 5 in 2020.
Sanders played in all 16 games, but didn’t see his snap percentage exceed 53% until week 9. Sanders still managed 218.7 fantasy points in 2019, good to finish as the RB15. Take Sanders last 8 games, all of which he saw an average of 67% of offensive snaps, and double the production.
Sanders would end up with 1024 rushing yards, 62 receptions, 472 receiving yards, 4 touchdowns. 231.6 fantasy points, would of put Sanders 1.2 points outside the RB1 range.
Sanders with 16 games with an average snap percentage of 67% could easily finish with 1100 rushing, 75 catches, 650 receiving yards, and 8 touchdowns. It would give him 298 fantasy points which would of been the RB5 in 2019.
Mixon is coming off arguably his most successful season, maybe not by yards per game or yards per carry, but the simple fact that he stayed healthy. That’s huge for a guy who missed 2 games in each of his first two seasons. Mixon finished as the RB13 with 225.4 fantasy points in 2019. He should have a new quarterback and some new offensive linemen in town in 2020. This should help Mixon improve on his numbers from 2019. If Mixon can add 350 total yards, 15 more catches and 4 touchdowns, he would finish with 299 fantasy points, good for a top 5 finish in 2019.
RB regress 65+ points in 2020
McCaffrey, Ekeler, Cook.
These three will all score at minimum of 65 fewer points in 2020 than in 2019.
CMC was a monster in 2019, but he also had a crazy amount of dump-off passes from back up quarterbacks. In Week 16, CMC had 15 of Will Grier's 27 completions. That's nuts to think he can continue to keep this pace up.
Ekeler is in a sticky spot, He won’t have multiple games being the only guy (I believe in Justin Jackson). Rivers is another year older and who knows may not even be in LA. Tyrod Taylor may be the starter come week 1.
Cook is one that hurts to say, I love Cook, but he’s injury prone and Minnesota invested in Mattison who showed flashes of brilliance in games last season.
Four receivers to never grace the Top 8 will do so in 2020
Boyd, AJ Brown, Sutton, McLaurin
These four have tremendous potential and I believe all become the lead receiver for their team in 2020. Boyd and Sutton were for 2019, but Boyd wasn’t really supposed to be until A.J. Green didn't see the field.
I love what I have seen out of A.J. Brown and McLaurin in 2019. The sky's the limit for these two and they both could be top 12 WRs for years to come.
A.J. Brown averaged 45.5 receiving yards a game with Mariota at quarterback. When Tannehill took over, 86.4 receiving yards a game. Most expect Tannehill to get a contract extension with the Titans and Brown should continue to improve.
Three 1750+ yard receivers in 2020
Michael Thomas, DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Brown will all have over 120 catches and over 1750 yards in 2020.
Thomas was twenty-five yards from accomplishing this feat in 2019, so it wouldn’t be shocking to see him reach these totals again. Thomas finished with 149 catches for 1725 yards in 2019 with an average of 11.6 yards per catch. Thomas is going to have to get close to the 149 catches again, he has never averaged more than 12.4 yards per catch.
Hopkins in 2015 caught 111 passes for 1521 yards for 13.7 yards per catch. 2018 he caught 115 passes for 1572 for 13.6 yards per catch. Let’s say he catches 130 passes in 2020 at 13.65 yards per catch. He would end up with 1774 yards, which would help him accomplish the feat.
A.J. Brown caught 52 passes for 1051 yards in 2019 for an average of 20.2 yards per catch. Say he gets 125 catches and lowers his yards per catch closer to the 14.5 range. The 14.0-15.0 yards per catch range is where players like Julio Jones, Courtland Sutton, and Amari Cooper live. That would give A.J. Brown 1812 receiving yards.
I hope that you enjoyed my off the dome, outlandish, but always fun to debate and talk about Fuego Takes! You can follow me on twitter @FrankScandurro. I always respond and try and help everyone out who reaches out!