Each week we will make predictions on who we think will potentially outperform and underperform their weekly fantasy projections. (These projections are provided by Sit or Start Fantasy Football using standard PPR scoring.) We make these predictions to help you figure out which players can help you win your matchup and/or to nudge you in the right direction for that lineup decision you’ve been sitting on all week. Let’s see who’s going to be this week’s heroes and zeroes.

Firstly, since we are at the midpoint in the NFL season let’s go over our current stats for our fantasy predictions. Out of 27 players profiled, we have hit correctly on 17 of them. That’s a winning percentage of 63%. Not bad! Thank you all so much for your continued support. I hope we have helped you at least a little bit, so let’s keep it going.


Secondly, full disclosure from our Week 8 selections:

 

Heroes:

Ryan Tannehill, Quarterback, Titans

Week 8 Projection: 16 points

Actual -- 19 points

 

Kenny Golladay, Wide Receiver, Lions

Week 8 Projection: 15 points

Actual -- 28 points

 

Zeroes:

Matt Moore, Quarterback, Chiefs

Week 8 Projection: 15 points

Actual -- 19 points

 

Devonta Freeman, Running Back, Falcons

Week 8 Projection: 15 points

Actual -- 16 points

 

Week 8 was a bit unlucky for us as we went 2 for 4. It could have easily been 3 for 4 if not for Devonta Freeman, who only had 39 yards rushing, but tacked on eight catches for 67 yards to put him just over his projection. Matt Schaub used him as his check down all day and from a PPR standpoint, those catches add up quick. We also discovered Matt Moore is okay. He went toe-to-toe with Aaron Rodgers and almost pulled off a win on Sunday night while filling in for injured Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Moore had a nice completion percentage of 67% and 267 passing yards with two touchdowns and no turnovers. For our wins, Ryan Tannehill had a decent outing to beat his projection and we hit big time with Kenny Golladay who had six catches, 123 yards, and two touchdowns. So, in honor of the World Series, which concluded this week, let’s knock our Week 9 version of Heroes and Zeroes out of the park! This week we will focus on:

 

Heroes

 

Philip Rivers, Quarterback, Chargers

Week 9 Projection: 15 points

The Chargers went into Chicago last week and beat the Bears in what was a subpar game for Rivers. He only threw for 201 yards (a season-low) with a touchdown and an interception. The 3-5 Chargers welcome in the Green Bay Packers to Los Angeles this week and they will do so with a new offensive play-caller. This week the Chargers fired offensive coordinator Ken Whisenhunt and quarterbacks coach Shane Steichen is rumored to be the new guy leading the Chargers offense. During their last four games, the Chargers have averaged 297 total yards per game and have failed to reach 40 rushing yards in each of those contests. The Packers defense has been susceptible to the big play the last three weeks giving up 9 plays of over 25 yards. They have also allowed an average of 322 passing yards over the last four weeks. The Chargers coaching change should spark something for their offense, which has been listless these past four weeks. Rivers will beat his projection in a game with an over/under of 46.5 points.

 

Chris Godwin, Wide Receiver, Buccaneers

Week 9 Projection: 18 points

Godwin currently ranks fifth in receiving yards and tenth in total catches. A case can be made that Tampa Bay has two alpha receivers on their team, Mike Evans (1a) and Godwin (1b). In four of his last five games, Godwin has had at least 121 yards receiving. The “Legion of Boom” is most definitely not in Seattle anymore, as the Seahawks rank sixth-worst in total receiving yards per game. The Seahawks are also coming off a game where they allowed 39 completions by a backup quarterback (Schaub). Buccaneers head coach Bruce Arians blamed his wide receivers for quarterback Jameis Winston’s interceptions last game by saying, “Jameis didn’t throw one damn interception that was his fault. His receivers let him down today…” I anticipate the Buccaneers receivers getting the message and having a big game. Look for Godwin to find the end zone and beat his projection this week.

 

Zeroes

 

David Montgomery, Running Back, Bears

Week 9 Projection: 11 points

Montgomery is coming off a breakout game where he had 147 scrimmage yards and a touchdown in a one-point loss to the Chargers. This week the Bears travel to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles, who are in the midst of a three-game stretch where they play three of the top four defenses in the league (Bills, Bears, Patriots). For the most part, Montgomery is mainly used for rushing downs. Tarik Cohen is the passing down running back and the Eagles have been really tough against the run, especially at home. During home games, the Eagles have given up a league-best 98 yards per game on the ground. Bears quarterback Mitch Trubisky has not looked good, meaning a lot of three-and-outs for the Bears offense. If you listened to the Dynasty Happy Hour Pod this week then you know many people don’t think Montgomery is good enough yet to carry a team on his shoulders as Dalvin Cook or Christian McCaffrey can. I expect to see a lot of Tarik Cohen in this game, so don’t expect Montgomery to hit his projection in a Bears loss.

 

 

Jonnu Smith, Tight End, Titans

Week 9 Projection: 8 points

This week Jonnu Smith and his Titans travel to Charlotte to take on the Panthers. Smith had a great Week 8 filling in for injured tight end Delanie Walker. He led the team in targets, receptions, and yards in a win versus the Buccaneers. This week should be more of a challenge. The Panthers defense has been good against tight ends, only allowing an average of 6.1 fantasy points per game and have only allowed two total touchdowns. Combined with the possibility Walker could play and that the Titans rank twenty-ninth in the NFL in pass attempts per game, you should not expect Smith to have as good a game as he did last week. Look for him to underperform in a game where the Titans are looking to get above .500 for the year.